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Correlation Analysis

Oracle Corp vs Union Pacific Corp.

ORCL vs UNP

+0.204

Light positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

ORCL logo

Oracle Corp

ORCL

Oracle provides enterprise applications and infrastructure offerings through a variety of flexible IT deployment models, including on-premises, cloud-based, and hybrid. Founded in 1977, Oracle pioneered the first commercial SQL-based relational database management system, which is commonly used by the world's largest companies for high-volume online transaction processing workloads. Besides databases, Oracle also sells enterprise resource planning platforms and cloud infrastructure that play an increasingly important role in large language model training and inferencing.

Market cap 418.6B

UNP logo

Union Pacific Corp.

UNP

Omaha, Nebraska-based Union Pacific is the largest public railroad in North America. Operating on more than 30,000 miles of track in the western two-thirds of the US, Union Pacific generated $24.5 billion of revenue in 2025 by hauling coal, industrial products, intermodal containers, agricultural goods, chemicals, fertilizers, and automotive goods. Union Pacific owns about one-fourth of Mexican railroad Ferromex and historically derives roughly 10% of its revenue hauling freight to and from Mexico.

Market cap 145.8B · 29,287 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockTechnologyIndustrials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: ORCLGray: UNP36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

ORCL leads UNP by 6 days

ORCL tends to move before UNP.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.212 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.324

13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.636

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.561

14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

4.2%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

58.3%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.150, 0.257]

Scatter

XY Regression

51.1100150200250300348.9187.6200220240260267.3Oracle CorpUnion Pacific Corp.Data pointsFit (r = 0.204)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

ORCL logo

Oracle Corp

ORCL

Market cap 418.6B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

UNP logo

Union Pacific Corp.

UNP

Market cap 145.8B · 29,287 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

40

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0649

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

218.9161

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-orcl-vs-stock-unp-daily