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Correlation Analysis

Nvidia Corp vs Watsco, Inc.

NVDA vs WSO

+0.717

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Nvidia is a leading developer of graphics processing units. Traditionally, GPUs were used to enhance the experience on computing platforms, most notably in gaming applications on PCs. GPU use cases have since emerged as important semiconductors used in artificial intelligence to run large language models. Nvidia not only offers AI GPUs, but also a software platform, Cuda, used for AI model development and training. Nvidia is also expanding its data center networking solutions, helping to tie GPUs together to handle complex workloads.

Market cap 4.3T

WSO logo

Watsco, Inc.

WSO

Watsco is the largest HVAC and refrigeration products distributor in North America with approximately 13% market share. The company primarily operates in the United States (90% of revenue) with significant exposure in the Sunbelt states. Watsco also has operations in Canada, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The company's customer base comprises more than 120,000 dealers and contractors serving the replacement and new-construction HVAC/R markets for residential and light-commercial applications. As much as 20% of residential HVAC units are distributed through Watsco in any given year. Revenue is approximately 75%-80% residential HVAC and 20%-25% commercial, with relatively small exposure to more complex "applied" solutions.

Market cap 15.4B · 7,050 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: NVDAGray: WSO36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

WSO leads NVDA by 6 days

WSO tends to move before NVDA.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.723 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.004

15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.052

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.506

12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

51.4%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

59.6%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.689, 0.743]

Scatter

XY Regression

-1.7050100150200218230250300350400450500514.5Nvidia CorpWatsco, Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.717)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Market cap 4.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

WSO logo

Watsco, Inc.

WSO

Market cap 15.4B · 7,050 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

26

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.9811

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

290.6838

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-nvda-vs-stock-wso-daily-20260408-0wazeg