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Correlation Analysis

Nvidia Corp vs Starbucks Corp

NVDA vs SBUX

-0.336

Light inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Nvidia is a leading developer of graphics processing units. Traditionally, GPUs were used to enhance the experience on computing platforms, most notably in gaming applications on PCs. GPU use cases have since emerged as important semiconductors used in artificial intelligence to run large language models. Nvidia not only offers AI GPUs, but also a software platform, Cuda, used for AI model development and training. Nvidia is also expanding its data center networking solutions, helping to tie GPUs together to handle complex workloads.

Market cap 4.3T

SBUX logo

Starbucks Corp

SBUX

Starbucks stands out as the world's biggest and most recognizable coffee brand, powered by ultracustomizable beverages in-store and a sweeping footprint of nearly 41,000 cafes in over 80 countries. About 52% are company-operated, with the balance run by licensees. The company operates roasteries and sells across its North America (74% of revenue as of the end of fiscal 2025), international (21%), and channel development (5%) segments. The brand collects revenue from company-operated stores, licensee royalties, equipment and product sales, retail ready-to-drink beverages, and packaged coffee.

Market cap 108B · 381,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnologyConsumer

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: NVDAGray: SBUX36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

SBUX leads NVDA by 6 days

SBUX tends to move before NVDA.

Best correlation after shifting: -0.343 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.238

13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.841

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.615

14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

11.3%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

60.0%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.385, -0.286]

Scatter

XY Regression

-1.705010015020021870.38090100110120126.5Nvidia CorpStarbucks CorpData pointsFit (r = -0.336)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Market cap 4.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

SBUX logo

Starbucks Corp

SBUX

Market cap 108B · 381,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

1

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.0644

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

100.4320

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-nvda-vs-stock-sbux-daily-20260408-aqwrr8