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Correlation Analysis

Nvidia Corp vs Royal Gold Inc

NVDA vs RGLD

+0.803

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Nvidia is a leading developer of graphics processing units. Traditionally, GPUs were used to enhance the experience on computing platforms, most notably in gaming applications on PCs. GPU use cases have since emerged as important semiconductors used in artificial intelligence to run large language models. Nvidia not only offers AI GPUs, but also a software platform, Cuda, used for AI model development and training. Nvidia is also expanding its data center networking solutions, helping to tie GPUs together to handle complex workloads.

Market cap 4.3T

RGLD logo

Royal Gold Inc

RGLD

Royal Gold Inc enquires and manages precious metal royalties and streams with a focus on gold. The company purchases a percentage of the metal produced from a mineral property for an initial payment without assuming responsibility for mining operations. Similarly, precious metal streams are purchase agreements with mine operators providing the right to purchase all or a portion of one or more metals produced from a mine in exchange for an upfront deposit payment. Generally, Royal Gold does not work on the properties in which it holds royalty and streaming assets. The company owns a portfolio of producing, development, evaluation, and exploration royalties and streams, and the majority of group revenue is generated from Canada, Mexico, Chile, and the United States.

Market cap 22.1B · 39 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: NVDAGray: RGLD36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

NVDA leads RGLD by 6 days

NVDA tends to move before RGLD.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.806 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.055

15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.129

9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.651

11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

64.5%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

54.1%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.782, 0.822]

Scatter

XY Regression

-1.705010015020021880.7100150200250287Nvidia CorpRoyal Gold IncData pointsFit (r = 0.803)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Market cap 4.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

RGLD logo

Royal Gold Inc

RGLD

Market cap 22.1B · 39 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

16

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.5354

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

96.1776

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-nvda-vs-stock-rgld-daily-20260408-p4rw28