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Correlation Analysis

Nvidia Corp vs M&T Bank Corp.

NVDA vs MTB

+0.646

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Nvidia is a leading developer of graphics processing units. Traditionally, GPUs were used to enhance the experience on computing platforms, most notably in gaming applications on PCs. GPU use cases have since emerged as important semiconductors used in artificial intelligence to run large language models. Nvidia not only offers AI GPUs, but also a software platform, Cuda, used for AI model development and training. Nvidia is also expanding its data center networking solutions, helping to tie GPUs together to handle complex workloads.

Market cap 4.3T

MTB logo

M&T Bank Corp.

MTB

M&T Bank is a US regional bank with around $213 billion in assets as of Dec. 30, 2025. Headquartered in Buffalo, New York, the bank's footprint is mostly concentrated in New England and the US Mid-Atlantic. M&T Bank boasts a community banking approach, and boasts over 900 branches in 13 states and Washington, D.C. Apart from retail and commercial banking, M&T Bank also has wealth management operations through Wilmington Trust and a partnership with LPL Financial, and a corporate trust business.

Market cap 31.5B · 22,278 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnology

Who Moves First

NVDA leads MTB by 6 days

NVDA tends to move before MTB.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.654 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.333

16 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.898

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.462

12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

41.8%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

57.3%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.613, 0.677]

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: NVDAGray: MTB36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Scatter

XY Regression

-1.7050100150200218102.5120140160180200220240240.9Nvidia CorpM&T Bank Corp.Data pointsFit (r = 0.646)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Market cap 4.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MTB logo

M&T Bank Corp.

MTB

Market cap 31.5B · 22,278 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

27

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.2881

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

141.9742

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-nvda-vs-stock-mtb-daily-20260408-w7xt3w