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Correlation Analysis

Nvidia Corp vs FedEx Corporation

NVDA vs FDX

+0.462

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Nvidia is a leading developer of graphics processing units. Traditionally, GPUs were used to enhance the experience on computing platforms, most notably in gaming applications on PCs. GPU use cases have since emerged as important semiconductors used in artificial intelligence to run large language models. Nvidia not only offers AI GPUs, but also a software platform, Cuda, used for AI model development and training. Nvidia is also expanding its data center networking solutions, helping to tie GPUs together to handle complex workloads.

Market cap 4.3T

FDX logo

FedEx Corporation

FDX

FedEx pioneered overnight delivery in 1973 and remains the world's largest express package provider. In fiscal 2025, the firm's Federal Express segment—which houses the core package delivery operations—made up 86% of total revenue, with 10% coming from FedEx Freight, its asset-based less-than-truckload shipping segment. The remainder came from other services, including FedEx Office, which provides document production/shipping, and FedEx Logistics, which provides global forwarding. FedEx acquired Dutch parcel delivery firm TNT Express in 2016, boosting its presence across Europe. TNT was previously the fourth-largest global parcel delivery provider.

Market cap 85.6B · 880,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: NVDAGray: FDX36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

NVDA leads FDX by 6 days

NVDA tends to move before FDX.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.477 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.357

13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.596

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.510

14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

21.3%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

60.0%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.417, 0.505]

Scatter

XY Regression

-1.7050100150200218143.5150200250300350386.2Nvidia CorpFedEx CorporationData pointsFit (r = 0.462)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Market cap 4.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

FDX logo

FedEx Corporation

FDX

Market cap 85.6B · 880,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

26

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.3114

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

225.4785

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-nvda-vs-stock-fdx-daily-20260408-itt2cl