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Correlation Analysis

Nvidia Corp vs Dollar General Corp.

NVDA vs DG

-0.800

Strong inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Nvidia is a leading developer of graphics processing units. Traditionally, GPUs were used to enhance the experience on computing platforms, most notably in gaming applications on PCs. GPU use cases have since emerged as important semiconductors used in artificial intelligence to run large language models. Nvidia not only offers AI GPUs, but also a software platform, Cuda, used for AI model development and training. Nvidia is also expanding its data center networking solutions, helping to tie GPUs together to handle complex workloads.

Market cap 4.3T

DG logo

Dollar General Corp.

DG

Since its beginning in 1939, Dollar General has grown to become the largest dollar store operator in the United States, with more than 20,000 small-box discount stores across 48 states. The firm generated $40 billion in fiscal 2024 sales. The retailer maintains a heavy concentration of stores in rural and low-income markets underserved by big-box retailers. It's 11,000 stock-keeping units, including 2,000 priced at $1 or less, span consumables (82% of sales), seasonal items (10%), home products (5%), and apparel (3%). More than 20% of sales are derived from private label.

Market cap 27.5B · 194,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: NVDAGray: DG36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

DG leads NVDA by 6 days

DG tends to move before NVDA.

Best correlation after shifting: -0.804 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.449

9 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.028

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.560

19 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

64.1%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

50.6%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.820, -0.780]

Scatter

XY Regression

-1.705010015020021858.3100150200250269.6Nvidia CorpDollar General Corp.Data pointsFit (r = -0.8)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Market cap 4.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

DG logo

Dollar General Corp.

DG

Market cap 27.5B · 194,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

5

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.7683

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

223.1652

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-nvda-vs-stock-dg-daily-20260408-z80ajn