Correlation Analysis
Nvidia Corp vs Circle Internet Group, Inc.
NVDA vs CRCL
-0.470
Moderate inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Nvidia Corp
↗NVDA
Nvidia is a leading developer of graphics processing units. Traditionally, GPUs were used to enhance the experience on computing platforms, most notably in gaming applications on PCs. GPU use cases have since emerged as important semiconductors used in artificial intelligence to run large language models. Nvidia not only offers AI GPUs, but also a software platform, Cuda, used for AI model development and training. Nvidia is also expanding its data center networking solutions, helping to tie GPUs together to handle complex workloads.
Market cap 4.3T
Circle Internet Group, Inc.
↗CRCL
Circle Internet Group Inc is a financial technology firm engaged in digital currencies and public blockchains for payments, commerce, and financial applications. The company's platform is a full-stack, internet financial platform business, organized around three pillars: Arc Blockchain and Developer Infrastructure, Circle Digital Assets and Services, and Circle Applications.
Market cap 22.8B · 1,100 employees
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Who Moves First
NVDA leads CRCL by 6 days
NVDA tends to move before CRCL.
Best correlation after shifting: -0.697 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.292
10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.587
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.549
18 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
22.0%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
56.7%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
210
Usable shared window — 210 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.569, -0.357]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
210 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
210
Normalized
1,254
210
Prepared
1,254
210
Aligned
210
210
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,044
A: 1044 / B: 0
Series A
Nvidia Corp
NVDA
Market cap 4.3T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Circle Internet Group, Inc.
CRCL
Market cap 22.8B · 1,100 employees
Stock · 210 raw → 210 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-1.6606
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
415.5226
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-nvda-vs-stock-crcl-daily-20260408-zp2vw2