Correlation Analysis
Nvidia Corp vs AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Class A Common Stock
NVDA vs ASTS
+0.816
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Nvidia Corp
↗NVDA
Nvidia is a leading developer of graphics processing units. Traditionally, GPUs were used to enhance the experience on computing platforms, most notably in gaming applications on PCs. GPU use cases have since emerged as important semiconductors used in artificial intelligence to run large language models. Nvidia not only offers AI GPUs, but also a software platform, Cuda, used for AI model development and training. Nvidia is also expanding its data center networking solutions, helping to tie GPUs together to handle complex workloads.
Market cap 4.3T

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Class A Common Stock
↗ASTS
AST SpaceMobile Inc is currently designing, developing and manufacturing the constellation of BlueBird (BB) satellites and has begun launching its planned space-based Cellular Broadband network distributed through a constellation of low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites. The company is building a cellular broadband network in space to operate directly with standard, unmodified mobile devices, and off-the-shelf mobile phones based on extensive IP and patent portfolio. It has focused on eliminating the connectivity gaps faced by mobile subscribers. The Company's spaceMobile Service is being designed to provide cost-effective, high-speed Cellular Broadband services to end-users who are out of terrestrial cellular coverage using existing mobile devices.
Market cap 27.7B · 1,126 employees
Who Moves First
NVDA leads ASTS by 6 days
NVDA tends to move before ASTS.
Best correlation after shifting: +0.819 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.413
14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.776
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.563
12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
66.5%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
57.9%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.796, 0.833]
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Nvidia Corp
NVDA
Market cap 4.3T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Class A Common Stock
ASTS
Market cap 27.7B · 1,126 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.3272
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-4.4576
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
NVDA
Nvidia Corp
Highest
+0.983
Arista Networks
ANET · 1,254 observations
Lowest
-0.910
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
UPS · 1,254 observations
ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Highest
+0.890
Micron Technology, Inc.
MU · 1,254 observations
Lowest
+0.515
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,254 observations
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-nvda-vs-stock-asts-daily-20260408-m5as9d