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Correlate

Correlation Analysis

Nvidia Corp vs CPILFESL

NVDA vs CPILFESL

+0.866

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Nvidia is a leading developer of graphics processing units. Traditionally, GPUs were used to enhance the experience on computing platforms, most notably in gaming applications on PCs. GPU use cases have since emerged as important semiconductors used in artificial intelligence to run large language models. Nvidia not only offers AI GPUs, but also a software platform, Cuda, used for AI model development and training. Nvidia is also expanding its data center networking solutions, helping to tie GPUs together to handle complex workloads.

Market cap 4.3T

F

CPILFESL

CPILFESL

Apr 1, 2021 — Feb 1, 2026Monthly58 observationsStockFREDTechnology

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: NVDAGray: CPILFESL36 of 58 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

CPILFESL leads NVDA by 6 months

CPILFESL tends to move before NVDA.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.894 (13 shifts scanned)

Stability

Rolling Correlation

How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.

Dashed line = zero correlationRange: -1 to +1

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.097

25 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

N/A

0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

+0.366

10 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

75.0%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

57.9%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

58

Thin shared window — 58 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.783, 0.919]

Scatter

XY Regression

-1.6050100150200202268.9270280290300310320330338.3Nvidia CorpCPILFESLData pointsFit (r = 0.866)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

58 paired observations survived the monthly window.

Raw input

1,254

829

Normalized

1,254

829

Prepared

61

829

Aligned

58

58

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

774

A: 3 / B: 771

Series A

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Market cap 4.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 61 prepared

Series B

F

CPILFESL

FRED · 829 raw → 829 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

1

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.2554

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

289.3751

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-nvda-vs-fred-cpilfesl-monthly-20260408-fswjid