Correlation Analysis
NetFlix Inc vs Constellation Brands, Inc.
NFLX vs STZ
-0.749
Strong inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
NetFlix Inc
↗NFLX
Netflix's relatively simple business model involves only one business, its streaming service. It has the biggest television entertainment subscriber base in both the United States and the collective international market, with more than 300 million subscribers globally. Netflix has exposure to nearly the entire global population outside of China. The firm has traditionally avoided a regular slate of live programming or sports content, instead focusing on on-demand access to episodic television, movies, and documentaries. The firm introduced ad-supported subscription plans in 2022, giving the firm exposure to the advertising market in addition to the subscription fees that have historically accounted for nearly all its revenue.
Market cap 417.7B
Constellation Brands, Inc.
↗STZ
Constellation Brands is the largest provider of alcoholic beverages across the beer, wine, and spirits categories in the US, generating 84% of revenue from Mexican beer imports under top-selling brands such as Modelo and Corona. The rest of the business includes some remaining wine and spirits brands, categories where the company has pruned assets in recent years. With its exclusive rights tied to the Mexican beer brands effective only in the US, the firm has limited revenue exposure to international markets. Constellation owns a 10% stake in Canopy Growth, a medicinal and recreational cannabis producer in Canada, and has a 50/50 joint venture with glass manufacturer Owens-Illinois in Mexico.
Market cap 26.9B · 10,600 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
NFLX leads STZ by 6 days
NFLX tends to move before STZ.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.756 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.105
10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.015
5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.669
20 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
56.1%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
51.8%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.772, -0.724]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
NetFlix Inc
NFLX
Market cap 417.7B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Constellation Brands, Inc.
STZ
Market cap 26.9B · 10,600 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
11
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.9146
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
276.4619
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
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