Correlation Analysis
NetFlix Inc vs NRG Energy, Inc.
NFLX vs NRG
+0.892
Very strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
NetFlix Inc
↗NFLX
Netflix's relatively simple business model involves only one business, its streaming service. It has the biggest television entertainment subscriber base in both the United States and the collective international market, with more than 300 million subscribers globally. Netflix has exposure to nearly the entire global population outside of China. The firm has traditionally avoided a regular slate of live programming or sports content, instead focusing on on-demand access to episodic television, movies, and documentaries. The firm introduced ad-supported subscription plans in 2022, giving the firm exposure to the advertising market in addition to the subscription fees that have historically accounted for nearly all its revenue.
Market cap 417.7B
NRG Energy, Inc.
↗NRG
NRG Energy is one of the largest retail energy providers in the US, with 6 million customers. Vivint Smart Home, which NRG acquired in 2023, has 2 million home-services customers. NRG also is one of the largest US independent power producers, with 13 gigawatts of coal, gas, and oil power generation capacity primarily in Texas. The LS Power asset acquisition adds 13 GW of gas-fired power plants mostly in the Eastern US. NRG exited Chapter 11 bankruptcy as a stand-alone entity in December 2003.
Market cap 31.8B · 16,702 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
NFLX leads NRG by 6 days
NFLX tends to move before NRG.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.895 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.844
17 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.404
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.767
12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
79.6%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
56.4%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.880, 0.903]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
NetFlix Inc
NFLX
Market cap 417.7B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
NRG Energy, Inc.
NRG
Market cap 31.8B · 16,702 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
31
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
1.3470
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-10.7247
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
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