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Correlation Analysis

Nasdaq, Inc. Common Stock vs Walmart Inc. Common Stock

NDAQ vs WMT

+0.891

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

NDAQ logo

Nasdaq, Inc. Common Stock

NDAQ

Founded in 1971, Nasdaq is primarily known for its equity exchange, but in addition to its trading business (about 22.5% of sales), the company sells market and financial data to investors, offers Nasdaq-branded indexes, and lists companies through its capital access segment (42.5%). Nasdaq's newest segment, financial technology, was primarily constructed through the acquisitions of Verafin and Adenza and has expanded the company into capital management, financial crime, and regulatory compliance software (35%) as it seeks to become a diversified technology company.

Market cap 50B · 9,525 employees

WMT logo

Walmart Inc. Common Stock

WMT

Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $680 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2025 sales), Walmart International (18%), and Sam's Club (14%). Within the US, nearly 60% of its $465 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.

Market cap 1T

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockConsumer

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: NDAQGray: WMT36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

NDAQ leads WMT by 6 days

NDAQ tends to move before WMT.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.892 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.433

17 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.740

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.834

12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

79.3%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

60.2%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.879, 0.902]

Scatter

XY Regression

45.2506070809099.134.7406080100120140141Nasdaq, Inc. Common StockWalmart Inc. Common StockData pointsFit (r = 0.891)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

NDAQ logo

Nasdaq, Inc. Common Stock

NDAQ

Market cap 50B · 9,525 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

WMT logo

Walmart Inc. Common Stock

WMT

Market cap 1T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

25

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

1.6129

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-40.7280

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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