Correlation Analysis
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A vs Exxon Mobil Corporation
MSTR vs XOM
+0.346
Light positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
↗MSTR
Strategy Inc is a bitcoin treasury company and a provider of business intelligence services. It is designed to provide investors varying degrees of economic exposure to Bitcoin by offering a range of securities, including equity and fixed-income instruments. The company also provides industry AI-powered enterprise analytics software. It has one reportable operating segment: the Software Business, which is engaged in the design, development, marketing, and sales of the company's enterprise analytics software platform through cloud subscriptions and licensing arrangements and related services (i.e., product support, consulting, and education). Geographically, the company operates in EMEA, U.S. and Other Regions, of which maximum revenue is derived from U.S..
Market cap 44.1B · 1,539 employees
Exxon Mobil Corporation
↗XOM
ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.
Market cap 680.7B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
XOM leads MSTR by 6 days
XOM tends to move before MSTR.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.355 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.163
9 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.672
5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.465
21 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
12.0%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
54.0%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.297, 0.394]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
MSTR
Market cap 44.1B · 1,539 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM
Market cap 680.7B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
26
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0632
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
93.3789
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
MSTR
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
Highest
+0.903
NetFlix Inc
NFLX · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.071
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-mstr-vs-stock-xom-daily