Correlation Analysis
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A vs Walmart Inc. Common Stock
MSTR vs WMT
+0.776
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
↗MSTR
Strategy Inc is a bitcoin treasury company and a provider of business intelligence services. It is designed to provide investors varying degrees of economic exposure to Bitcoin by offering a range of securities, including equity and fixed-income instruments. The company also provides industry AI-powered enterprise analytics software. It has one reportable operating segment: the Software Business, which is engaged in the design, development, marketing, and sales of the company's enterprise analytics software platform through cloud subscriptions and licensing arrangements and related services (i.e., product support, consulting, and education). Geographically, the company operates in EMEA, U.S. and Other Regions, of which maximum revenue is derived from U.S..
Market cap 44.1B · 1,539 employees
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
↗WMT
Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $680 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2025 sales), Walmart International (18%), and Sam's Club (14%). Within the US, nearly 60% of its $465 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.
Market cap 1T
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
MSTR leads WMT by 6 days
MSTR tends to move before WMT.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.786 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.469
14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.841
5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.470
16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
60.2%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
53.4%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.753, 0.797]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
MSTR
Market cap 44.1B · 1,539 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT
Market cap 1T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
26
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1565
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
46.6799
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
MSTR
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
Highest
+0.903
NetFlix Inc
NFLX · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.071
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-mstr-vs-stock-wmt-daily