Correlation Analysis
Microsoft Corp vs Block, Inc.
MSFT vs XYZ
+0.549
Moderate positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Microsoft Corp
↗MSFT
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
Market cap 2.8T
Block, Inc.
↗XYZ
Founded in 2009, Block provides payment services to merchants, along with related services. The company also launched Cash App, a person-to-person payment network. In 2024, Square's payment volume was almost USD 250 million.
Market cap 36.4B · 10,205 employees
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Who Moves First
MSFT leads XYZ by 6 days
MSFT tends to move before XYZ.
Best correlation after shifting: +0.608 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.364
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.149
12 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.404
12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
30.2%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
64.6%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
304
Robust shared window — 304 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.465, 0.623]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
304 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
304
Normalized
1,254
304
Prepared
1,254
304
Aligned
304
304
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
950
A: 950 / B: 0
Series A
Microsoft Corp
MSFT
Market cap 2.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Block, Inc.
XYZ
Market cap 36.4B · 10,205 employees
Stock · 304 raw → 304 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
6
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1034
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
19.6419
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-xyz-daily-20260408-idt9iy