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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs Vulcan Materials Company(Holding Company)

MSFT vs VMC

+0.927

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

VMC logo

Vulcan Materials Company(Holding Company)

VMC

Vulcan Materials is the United States' largest producer of construction aggregates (crushed stone, sand, and gravel). Its largest markets include Texas, California, Virginia, Tennessee, Georgia, Florida, North Carolina, and Alabama. In 2024, Vulcan sold 219.9 million tons of aggregates, 13.6 million tons of asphalt mix, and 3.6 million cubic yards of ready-mix. As of Dec. 31, 2024, the company had 16.5 billion tons of aggregate reserves.

Market cap 36.7B · 11,172 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnology

Who Moves First

MSFT leads VMC by 6 days

MSFT tends to move before VMC.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.932 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.395

16 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.519

9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.682

10 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

86.0%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

63.8%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.919, 0.935]

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: MSFTGray: VMC36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.3141.2150200250300335.3Microsoft CorpVulcan Materials Company(Holding Company)Data pointsFit (r = 0.927)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

VMC logo

Vulcan Materials Company(Holding Company)

VMC

Market cap 36.7B · 11,172 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

40

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.5075

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

40.5585

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-vmc-daily-20260408-p3cnin