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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs US Foods Holding Corp.

MSFT vs USFD

+0.849

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

USFD logo

US Foods Holding Corp.

USFD

US Foods Holding Corp is a U.S. food service distributor that distributes food and nonfood products to the healthcare and hospitality industries, restaurants, education, government facilities, and grocers. It has various customer locations across the United States, with a vast network of distribution facilities, a fleet of trucks, and cash and carry locations offering food and non-food products, and a comprehensive suite of e-commerce, technology, and business solutions to its customers. The company operates in one business segment in which it markets, sells, and distributes fresh, frozen, and dry food and non-food products to foodservice customers throughout the U.S. The products offered are as snacks, beverages, fresh produce, sauces, condiments, canned/frozen fruits and others.

Market cap 20B · 30,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnology

Who Moves First

MSFT leads USFD by 6 days

MSFT tends to move before USFD.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.857 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.758

13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.405

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.913

15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

72.2%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

60.0%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.833, 0.864]

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: MSFTGray: USFD36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.324406080100107.8Microsoft CorpUS Foods Holding Corp.Data pointsFit (r = 0.849)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

USFD logo

US Foods Holding Corp.

USFD

Market cap 20B · 30,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

18

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.1817

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-14.6207

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-usfd-daily-20260408-9ja5n0