Correlation Analysis
Microsoft Corp vs United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
MSFT vs UAL
+0.704
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Microsoft Corp
↗MSFT
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
Market cap 2.8T
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
↗UAL
Chicago-based United Airlines is a major US network carrier with hubs in San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Denver, Los Angeles, Newark, and Washington, D.C. United operates a hub-and-spoke system that is more focused on international and long-haul travel, especially across the Pacific, than its large US peers.
Market cap 29.4B · 113,200 employees
Who Moves First
MSFT leads UAL by 6 days
MSFT tends to move before UAL.
Best correlation after shifting: +0.719 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.198
12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.207
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.777
17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
49.6%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
58.9%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.675, 0.731]
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Microsoft Corp
MSFT
Market cap 2.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
UAL
Market cap 29.4B · 113,200 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
16
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1966
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-10.7206
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
MSFT
Microsoft Corp
Highest
+0.938
Cadence Design Systems
CDNS · 1,254 observations
Lowest
-0.867
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
BMY · 1,254 observations
UAL
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
Highest
+0.914
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT · 1,254 observations
Lowest
+0.440
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 observations
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-ual-daily-20260408-y3fd5a