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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs Textron, Inc.

MSFT vs TXT

+0.726

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

TXT logo

Textron, Inc.

TXT

Textron is a conglomerate that designs, manufactures, and services a range of specialty aircraft including small jets, propeller-driven airplanes, helicopters, and tilt-rotor aircraft. Textron Aviation manufactures and services Cessna and Beechcraft planes. Bell is a helicopter and tilt-rotor manufacturer and servicer for both commercial and military customers. Textron Systems produces uncrewed aircraft and armored vehicles for the military market as well as aircraft simulators and training for the commercial and military markets. Textron Industrial houses the Kautex business, which manufactures plastic fuel tanks for conventional and hybrid motor vehicles, and other subsidiaries that produce specialized vehicles such as golf carts and all-terrain vehicles.

Market cap 15.4B · 34,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: MSFTGray: TXT36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MSFT leads TXT by 6 days

MSFT tends to move before TXT.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.730 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.795

14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.837

9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.680

12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

52.7%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

60.8%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.699, 0.751]

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.355.260708090100102Microsoft CorpTextron, Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.726)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

TXT logo

Textron, Inc.

TXT

Market cap 15.4B · 34,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

9

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0807

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

47.2436

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-txt-daily-20260408-q1nqxn