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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs Take-Two Interactive Software Inc

MSFT vs TTWO

+0.771

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

TTWO logo

Take-Two Interactive Software Inc

TTWO

Take-Two is one of the largest global developers and publishers of video games, with labels including Rockstar, 2K, and Zynga. Grand Theft Auto is the firm's biggest franchise, accounting for about 30% of total sales for the past decade. NBA 2K is the industry's dominant basketball video game, with Take-Two releasing a new version annually. Other notable franchises include Red Dead Redemption, Borderlands, and Civilization. Typically, more than three-fourths of the firm's sales are from in-game spending, with the remainder coming from initial game sales. Since acquiring Zynga in 2022, mobile makes up about half of total sales.

Market cap 36.4B · 12,928 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: MSFTGray: TTWO36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MSFT leads TTWO by 6 days

MSFT tends to move before TTWO.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.773 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.526

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.791

9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.651

14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

59.5%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

64.8%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.748, 0.793]

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.387.6100150200250265Microsoft CorpTake-Two Interactive Software IncData pointsFit (r = 0.771)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

TTWO logo

Take-Two Interactive Software Inc

TTWO

Market cap 36.4B · 12,928 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

28

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.3761

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

31.8113

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-ttwo-daily-20260408-bzk51l