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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs SYNCHRONY FINANCIAL

MSFT vs SYF

+0.757

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

S

SYNCHRONY FINANCIAL

SYF

Synchrony Financial, originally a spinoff of GE Capital's retail financing business, is the largest provider of private-label credit cards in the United States by both outstanding receivables and purchasing volume. Synchrony partners with other firms to market its credit products in their physical stores as well as on their websites and mobile applications. Synchrony operates through three segments: retail card (private-label and co-branded general-purpose credit cards), payment solutions (promotional financing for large ticket purchases), and CareCredit (financing for elective healthcare procedures).

Market cap 24.1B · 20,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnology

Who Moves First

MSFT leads SYF by 6 days

MSFT tends to move before SYF.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.770 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.584

15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.629

10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.691

10 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

57.3%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

59.7%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.732, 0.779]

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: MSFTGray: SYF36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.323.830405060708089.2Microsoft CorpSYNCHRONY FINANCIALData pointsFit (r = 0.757)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

S

SYNCHRONY FINANCIAL

SYF

Market cap 24.1B · 20,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

12

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.1347

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-0.8318

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-syf-daily-20260408-tr5b6i