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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs Raymond James Financial, Inc.

MSFT vs RJF

+0.820

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

RJF logo

Raymond James Financial, Inc.

RJF

Raymond James Financial is a diversified financial services firm that provides wealth management, investment banking, asset management, and capital markets services to individuals, corporations, and municipalities. The firm maintains an extensive catalogue of products and services across its business lines. However, the wealth management franchise generates the bulk of its revenues and earnings through a vast network of more than 8,900 independent and employee-affiliated advisors, who collectively managed over $1.7 trillion in client assets as of fiscal year-end 2025. While Raymond James maintains a global footprint, the company derives over 90% of its revenue, and an even larger percentage of its operating income, from the United States.

Market cap 27.9B · 3,878 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: MSFTGray: RJF36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MSFT leads RJF by 6 days

MSFT tends to move before RJF.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.828 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.277

13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.301

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.744

15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

67.2%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

61.0%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.801, 0.837]

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.378.180100120140160173.3Microsoft CorpRaymond James Financial, Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.82)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

RJF logo

Raymond James Financial, Inc.

RJF

Market cap 27.9B · 3,878 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

34

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.2570

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

27.7084

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-rjf-daily-20260408-ir946b