Correlation Analysis
Microsoft Corp vs Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A Common Stock
MSFT vs RIVN
-0.365
Light inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Microsoft Corp
↗MSFT
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
Market cap 2.8T
Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A Common Stock
↗RIVN
Rivian is a battery electric vehicle automaker that sells its vehicles in the US and Canada. The company also develops electronic control units and related software for autos in a joint venture with Volkswagen. Rivian has multiple vehicles in its fleet, which include a luxury truck and full-size SUV and a delivery van. The company plans to begin selling a midsize SUV in 2026. Total deliveries were over 42,000 in 2025. Rivian is also developing autonomous driving software to be used in its vehicles.
Market cap 19B · 15,232 employees
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Who Moves First
RIVN leads MSFT by 6 days
RIVN tends to move before MSFT.
Best correlation after shifting: -0.384 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.229
10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.147
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.777
16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
13.4%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
61.8%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,104
Deep shared window — 1,104 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.416, -0.313]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,104 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,104
Normalized
1,254
1,104
Prepared
1,254
1,104
Aligned
1,104
1,104
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
150
A: 150 / B: 0
Series A
Microsoft Corp
MSFT
Market cap 2.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A Common Stock
RIVN
Market cap 19B · 15,232 employees
Stock · 1,104 raw → 1,104 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
7
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0927
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
57.8677
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
MSFT
Microsoft Corp
Highest
+0.938
Cadence Design Systems
CDNS · 1,254 observations
Lowest
-0.867
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
BMY · 1,254 observations
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Highest
+0.170
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
TSLA · 1,104 observations
Lowest
-0.728
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,104 observations
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