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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs Pultegroup, Inc.

MSFT vs PHM

+0.900

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

PHM logo

Pultegroup, Inc.

PHM

PulteGroup Inc is a homebuilder in the United States. The company mainly builds single-family detached homes and offers products to entry-level, move-up, and active-adult buyers. It also offers homebuyers mortgage financing, title, and insurance agency services through its financial services segment.

Market cap 23B · 6,506 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnology

Who Moves First

MSFT leads PHM by 6 days

MSFT tends to move before PHM.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.903 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.180

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.073

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.505

17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

81.1%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

59.2%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.889, 0.910]

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: MSFTGray: PHM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.332.1406080100120140146.8Microsoft CorpPultegroup, Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.9)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

PHM logo

Pultegroup, Inc.

PHM

Market cap 23B · 6,506 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

36

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.3596

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-44.4444

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-phm-daily-20260408-omdzby