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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs NetFlix Inc

MSFT vs NFLX

+0.866

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

NFLX logo

NetFlix Inc

NFLX

Netflix's relatively simple business model involves only one business, its streaming service. It has the biggest television entertainment subscriber base in both the United States and the collective international market, with more than 300 million subscribers globally. Netflix has exposure to nearly the entire global population outside of China. The firm has traditionally avoided a regular slate of live programming or sports content, instead focusing on on-demand access to episodic television, movies, and documentaries. The firm introduced ad-supported subscription plans in 2022, giving the firm exposure to the advertising market in addition to the subscription fees that have historically accounted for nearly all its revenue.

Market cap 417.7B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnologyConsumer

Who Moves First

NFLX leads MSFT by 6 days

NFLX tends to move before MSFT.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.867 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.637

16 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.772

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.793

12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

74.9%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

66.9%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.851, 0.879]

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: MSFTGray: NFLX36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.310.720406080100120133.2Microsoft CorpNetFlix IncData pointsFit (r = 0.866)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

NFLX logo

NetFlix Inc

NFLX

Market cap 417.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

28

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.3117

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-49.7966

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-nflx-daily-20260408-ct85dr