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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc

MSFT vs MTSI

+0.738

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

MTSI logo

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc

MTSI

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc is a provider of analog, digital, and mixed-signal semiconductor solutions to original equipment manufacturers and distributors. These solutions are found in systems for industrial, medical, scientific, and test and measurement markets. The firm's portfolio of products includes integrated circuits, multichip modules, power pallets and transistors, diodes, amplifiers, switches and switch limiters, passive and active components, and complete subsystems.

Market cap 17.5B · 2,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnology

Who Moves First

MSFT leads MTSI by 6 days

MSFT tends to move before MTSI.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.754 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.651

17 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.621

10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.867

8 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

54.5%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

67.4%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.712, 0.762]

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: MSFTGray: MTSI36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.337.350100150200250253.9Microsoft CorpMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, IncData pointsFit (r = 0.738)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MTSI logo

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc

MTSI

Market cap 17.5B · 2,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

14

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.3815

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-42.1595

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-mtsi-daily-20260408-h1lt1l