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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs Lam Research Corp

MSFT vs LRCX

+0.645

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

LRCX logo

Lam Research Corp

LRCX

Lam Research is one of the largest semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment manufacturers in the world. It specializes in deposition and etch, which entail the buildup of layers on a semiconductor and the subsequent selective removal of patterns from each layer. Lam holds the top market share in etch and holds the clear second share in deposition. It is more exposed to memory chipmakers for DRAM and NAND chips. It counts as top customers the largest chipmakers in the world, including TSMC, Samsung, Intel, and Micron.

Market cap 275.5B · 19,700 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnologyTechnology

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: MSFTGray: LRCX36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MSFT leads LRCX by 6 days

MSFT tends to move before LRCX.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.666 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.334

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.726

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.832

15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

41.6%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

69.2%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.611, 0.676]

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.325.250100150200246.6Microsoft CorpLam Research CorpData pointsFit (r = 0.645)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

LRCX logo

Lam Research Corp

LRCX

Market cap 275.5B · 19,700 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

16

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.3262

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-36.0515

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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