Correlation Analysis
Microsoft Corp vs Lumentum Holdings Inc. Common Stock
MSFT vs LITE
+0.260
Light positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Microsoft Corp
↗MSFT
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
Market cap 2.8T
Lumentum Holdings Inc. Common Stock
↗LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc is a California-based technology firm. The company provides two types of optical and photonic products: optical components that are used in telecommunications networking equipment, and commercial lasers for manufacturing, inspection, and life-science lab uses. Its segments are Optical Communications and Commercial Lasers. The firm is also expanding into new optical applications, such as 3-D sensing laser diode for consumer electronics. It generates maximum revenue from the OpComms segment. The OpComms segment products include a wide range of components, modules, and subsystems to support customers including carrier networks for access (local), metro (intracity), long-haul, and submarine (undersea) applications.
Market cap 55.1B · 10,562 employees
Who Moves First
MSFT leads LITE by 6 days
MSFT tends to move before LITE.
Best correlation after shifting: +0.289 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.269
12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.553
10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.869
13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
6.8%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
64.5%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.208, 0.311]
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Microsoft Corp
MSFT
Market cap 2.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Lumentum Holdings Inc. Common Stock
LITE
Market cap 55.1B · 10,562 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
6
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.3811
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-29.9575
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
MSFT
Microsoft Corp
Highest
+0.938
Cadence Design Systems
CDNS · 1,254 observations
Lowest
-0.867
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
BMY · 1,254 observations
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc. Common Stock
Highest
+0.915
Micron Technology, Inc.
MU · 1,254 observations
Lowest
+0.340
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
META · 1,107 observations
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-lite-daily-20260408-resf3q