Correlation Analysis
Microsoft Corp vs Lennox International Inc.
MSFT vs LII
+0.878
Very strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Microsoft Corp
↗MSFT
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
Market cap 2.8T
Lennox International Inc.
↗LII
Lennox International manufacturers and distributes heating, ventilating, air conditioning, and refrigeration products for the North American replacement (75% of sales) and new construction (25% of sales) markets. Residential HVAC (home comfort solutions) accounted for 67% of sales and commercial HVAC (building climate solutions) accounted for the remaining 33% of sales. To be clear, Lennox's commercial exposure is what its peers refer to as "residential and light commercial," lacks the scale and complexity of what is referred to as an "applied" solution. The company goes to market with multiple brands, but Lennox is the company's flagship HVAC brand.
Market cap 15.8B · 12,900 employees
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Who Moves First
in sync
MSFT and LII tend to move at the same time.
Best correlation after shifting: +0.878 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.300
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.517
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.688
13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
77.2%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
62.3%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.865, 0.891]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Microsoft Corp
MSFT
Market cap 2.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Lennox International Inc.
LII
Market cap 15.8B · 12,900 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
40
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
1.4336
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-105.4157
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-lii-daily-20260408-1i3wxi