Correlation Analysis
Microsoft Corp vs The Kraft Heinz Company Common Stock
MSFT vs KHC
-0.784
Strong inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Microsoft Corp
↗MSFT
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
Market cap 2.8T
The Kraft Heinz Company Common Stock
↗KHC
In July 2015, Kraft merged with Heinz to create one of North America's largest food and beverage manufacturers. Beyond its namesake brands, its portfolio includes Oscar Mayer, Velveeta, and Philadelphia. While the retail channel drives around 85% of its total sales, the firm also maintains a growing foodservice presence. Outside North America, Kraft Heinz's global reach encompasses a distribution network in Europe and emerging markets, which accounts for around 25% of its consolidated sales base. The company's products are sold in more than 190 countries and territories.
Market cap 27.9B · 35,000 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
MSFT leads KHC by 6 days
MSFT tends to move before KHC.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.791 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.495
8 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.535
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.588
18 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
61.5%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
49.2%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.805, -0.762]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Microsoft Corp
MSFT
Market cap 2.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
The Kraft Heinz Company Common Stock
KHC
Market cap 27.9B · 35,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0493
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
51.9867
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
MSFT
Microsoft Corp
Highest
+0.938
Cadence Design Systems
CDNS · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.867
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
BMY · 1,254 data points
KHC
The Kraft Heinz Company Common Stock
Highest
-0.412
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.903
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
AVGO · 1,254 data points
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-khc-daily-20260408-z8qb8h