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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs International Paper Co.

MSFT vs IP

+0.080

Weak positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

IP logo

International Paper Co.

IP

International Paper manufactures packaging products and cellulose fibers. It accounts for roughly one-third of the North American corrugated packaging market. The company also has a substantial presence in Europe following its acquisition of DS Smith. International Paper serves a variety of end markets, including industrial, consumer products, and manufacturing.

Market cap 18.5B · 62,602 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: MSFTGray: IP36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MSFT leads IP by 6 days

MSFT tends to move before IP.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.088 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.017

10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.270

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.653

18 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

0.6%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

56.5%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.01

95% CI: [0.025, 0.135]

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.3283040506066.5Microsoft CorpInternational Paper Co.Data pointsFit (r = 0.08)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

IP logo

International Paper Co.

IP

Market cap 18.5B · 62,602 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

9

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0081

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

41.3177

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-ip-daily-20260408-ln4lv3