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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs Halliburton Company

MSFT vs HAL

-0.221

Light inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

HAL logo

Halliburton Company

HAL

Halliburton is North America's largest oilfield-services company as measured by market share. Despite industry fragmentation, it holds a leading position in the hydraulic fracturing and completions market, which makes up nearly half of its revenue. It also holds strong positions in other service offerings like drilling and completions fluids, which leverages its expertise in material science, as well as the directional drilling market. While we consider SLB the global leader in reservoir evaluation, we think Halliburton leads in any activity from the reservoir to the wellbore. Halliburton's innovations have helped multiple producers lower their development costs per barrel of oil equivalent, with techniques that have been honed over a century of operations.

Market cap 31.6B · 46,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnologyEnergy

Who Moves First

HAL leads MSFT by 6 days

HAL tends to move before MSFT.

Best correlation after shifting: -0.235 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.095

9 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

N/A

4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.647

22 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

4.9%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

53.3%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.273, -0.168]

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: MSFTGray: HAL36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.317.79202530354043.06Microsoft CorpHalliburton CompanyData pointsFit (r = -0.221)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

HAL logo

Halliburton Company

HAL

Market cap 31.6B · 46,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

3

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.0172

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

36.6996

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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