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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs Comfort Systems USA, Inc.

MSFT vs FIX

+0.705

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

FIX logo

Comfort Systems USA, Inc.

FIX

Comfort Systems USA Inc provides comprehensive mechanical contracting services, including heating, ventilation, & air conditioning, or HVAC; plumbing; piping & controls; construction; and other electrical components. Projects are mainly for commercial, industrial, & institutional buildings, & tend to be geared toward HVAC. Revenue is roughly split between installation services for newly constructed facilities & maintenance services for existing buildings. The company installs & repairs products and systems throughout the United States. It operates in two segments, Mechanical services & Electrical services, the majority is from the Mechanical services segment.

Market cap 50.4B · 22,700 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: MSFTGray: FIX36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MSFT leads FIX by 6 days

MSFT tends to move before FIX.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.723 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.547

17 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.615

5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.697

13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

49.7%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

63.8%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.676, 0.732]

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.3-3702004006008001,0001,2001,4001,533Microsoft CorpComfort Systems USA, Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.705)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

FIX logo

Comfort Systems USA, Inc.

FIX

Market cap 50.4B · 22,700 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

17

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

2.6571

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-631.5635

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-fix-daily-20260408-tnf7xi