Correlation Analysis
Microsoft Corp vs Fiserv, Inc. Common Stock
MSFT vs FISV
-0.738
Strong inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Microsoft Corp
↗MSFT
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
Market cap 2.8T
Fiserv, Inc. Common Stock
↗FISV
Fiserv is a leading provider of core processing and complementary services, such as electronic funds transfer, payment processing, and loan processing, for US banks and credit unions, with a focus on small and midsize banks. Following its 2019 merger with First Data, Fiserv also provides payment processing services to merchants. About 10% of the company's revenue is generated internationally.
Market cap 30B · 38,000 employees
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Who Moves First
MSFT leads FISV by 6 days
MSFT tends to move before FISV.
Best correlation after shifting: -0.752 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.249
10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.012
14 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.915
11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
54.4%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
65.6%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
644
Robust shared window — 644 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.771, -0.700]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
644 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
644
Normalized
1,254
644
Prepared
1,254
644
Aligned
644
644
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
610
A: 610 / B: 0
Series A
Microsoft Corp
MSFT
Market cap 2.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Fiserv, Inc. Common Stock
FISV
Market cap 30B · 38,000 employees
Stock · 644 raw → 644 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
13
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.1905
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
156.9960
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-fisv-daily-20260408-h1180j