Correlation Analysis
Microsoft Corp vs First Citizens BancShares Inc
MSFT vs FCNCA
+0.889
Very strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Microsoft Corp
↗MSFT
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
Market cap 2.8T
First Citizens BancShares Inc
↗FCNCA
First Citizens BancShares Inc. is a Raleigh, N.C.-based financial holding company operating through its subsidiary, First-Citizens Bank & Trust Company. It provides comprehensive retail banking, commercial lending, leasing, and wealth management services via a nationwide branch network and digital platforms. In 2023 acquisition of Silicon Valley Bank, it also specializes in banking for tech, healthcare, and innovation firms.
Market cap 22.8B · 18,141 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
MSFT leads FCNCA by 6 days
MSFT tends to move before FCNCA.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.893 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.498
16 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.290
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.727
12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
79.1%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
59.0%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.877, 0.900]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Microsoft Corp
MSFT
Market cap 2.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
First Citizens BancShares Inc
FCNCA
Market cap 22.8B · 18,141 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
13
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
5.5785
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-639.9048
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-fcnca-daily-20260408-cqk42l