Correlation Analysis
Microsoft Corp vs Expedia Group, Inc. Common Stock
MSFT vs EXPE
+0.575
Moderate positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Microsoft Corp
↗MSFT
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
Market cap 2.8T
Expedia Group, Inc. Common Stock
↗EXPE
Expedia is the world's second-largest online travel agency by bookings, offering services for lodging (80% of total 2025 sales), air tickets (3%), rental cars, cruises, in-destination, and other (9%), and advertising revenue (8%). Expedia operates a number of branded travel booking sites, but its three core online travel agency brands are Expedia, Hotels.com, and alternative accommodations brand Vrbo. It also has a metasearch brand, Trivago. Transaction fees for online bookings account for the bulk of sales and profits.
Market cap 28.1B · 16,000 employees
Who Moves First
MSFT leads EXPE by 6 days
MSFT tends to move before EXPE.
Best correlation after shifting: +0.598 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.154
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.645
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.783
13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
33.1%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
62.7%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.537, 0.611]
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Microsoft Corp
MSFT
Market cap 2.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Expedia Group, Inc. Common Stock
EXPE
Market cap 28.1B · 16,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
8
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.3186
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
39.2288
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
MSFT
Microsoft Corp
Highest
+0.938
Cadence Design Systems
CDNS · 1,254 observations
Lowest
-0.867
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
BMY · 1,254 observations
EXPE
Expedia Group, Inc. Common Stock
Highest
+0.778
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM · 1,254 observations
Lowest
+0.112
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,254 observations
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-expe-daily-20260408-ovg86q