Correlation Analysis
Microsoft Corp vs Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock
MSFT vs EXE
+0.151
Weak positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Microsoft Corp
↗MSFT
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
Market cap 2.8T
Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock
↗EXE
Expand Energy is a North American natural gas producer in the Haynesville and Appalachian basins, formed by the combination of Chesapeake and Southwestern. Its largest operation by volume is the Haynesville basin in Louisiana, which is heavily exposed to nearby LNG production. Appalachia benefits from its proximity to population centers in the Northeast and mid-Atlantic regions.
Market cap 24.9B · 1,600 employees
Who Moves First
in sync
MSFT and EXE tend to move at the same time.
Best correlation after shifting: +0.151 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.060
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.033
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.752
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
2.3%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
50.3%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
378
Robust shared window — 378 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.01
95% CI: [0.051, 0.248]
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
378 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
378
Normalized
1,254
378
Prepared
1,254
378
Aligned
378
378
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
876
A: 876 / B: 0
Series A
Microsoft Corp
MSFT
Market cap 2.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock
EXE
Market cap 24.9B · 1,600 employees
Stock · 378 raw → 378 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
10
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0260
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
92.6451
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-exe-daily-20260408-cy8nh6