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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs Booking Holdings Inc. Common Stock

MSFT vs BKNG

+0.930

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

BKNG logo

Booking Holdings Inc. Common Stock

BKNG

Booking is the world's largest online travel agency by sales, offering booking and payment services for hotel and alternative accommodation rooms, airlines, rental cars, restaurants, cruises, experiences, and other vacation packages. The company operates several branded travel booking sites, including Booking.com, Agoda, OpenTable, Rentalcars.com, and Kayak. Transaction fees for online bookings account for the bulk of revenue and profits.

Market cap 139.5B · 24,300 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnologyConsumer

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: MSFTGray: BKNG36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

MSFT and BKNG tend to move at the same time.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.930 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.717

15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.694

9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.671

11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

86.4%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

66.1%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.922, 0.937]

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.361.1100150200239.4Microsoft CorpBooking Holdings Inc. Common StockData pointsFit (r = 0.93)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

BKNG logo

Booking Holdings Inc. Common Stock

BKNG

Market cap 139.5B · 24,300 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

26

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.5409

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-58.4428

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-bkng-daily-20260408-qqdjh6