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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs Axon Enterprise, Inc. Common Stock

MSFT vs AXON

+0.865

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

AXON logo

Axon Enterprise, Inc. Common Stock

AXON

Axon Enterprise Inc is building a public safety operating system by integrating a suite of hardware devices and cloud software solutions. The company's suite includes cloud-hosted digital evidence management solutions, TASER energy devices, drones and robotic security, and training solutions. Its operation comprises of two operating segments, Software and Services, and Connected Devices. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Connected Devices segment, which is engaged in developing, manufacturing, and selling fully integrated hardware solutions such as conducted energy devices sold under the TASER brand, body cameras, fixed and in-car cameras, drone and counter-drone technologies, and a broad ecosystem of accessories, extended warranties and related hardware products.

Market cap 33.2B · 6,300 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: MSFTGray: AXON36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

AXON leads MSFT by 1 day

AXON tends to move before MSFT.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.865 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.502

14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.806

9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.816

12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

74.8%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

65.5%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.850, 0.878]

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.346200400600800804Microsoft CorpAxon Enterprise, Inc. Common StockData pointsFit (r = 0.865)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

AXON logo

Axon Enterprise, Inc. Common Stock

AXON

Market cap 33.2B · 6,300 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

5

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

2.1642

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-451.0457

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-axon-daily-20260408-d9dgd5