Correlation Analysis
Microsoft Corp vs Applovin Corporation Class A Common Stock
MSFT vs APP
+0.762
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Microsoft Corp
↗MSFT
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
Market cap 2.8T
Applovin Corporation Class A Common Stock
↗APP
AppLovin is a vertically integrated advertising technology company that acts as a demand-side platform for advertisers, a supply-side platform for publishers, and an exchange facilitating transactions between the two. About 80% of AppLovin's revenue comes from the DSP, AppDiscovery, while the remainder comes from the SSP, Max. AppLovin's primary tool for future growth is AXON 2, which is an ad optimizer operating within the DSP that allows advertisers to place ads according to specified return thresholds.
Market cap 139.2B · 898 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
MSFT leads APP by 6 days
MSFT tends to move before APP.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.771 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.351
14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.821
8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.555
13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
58.1%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
65.2%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,250
Deep shared window — 1,250 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.738, 0.784]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,250 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,250
Normalized
1,254
1,250
Prepared
1,254
1,250
Aligned
1,250
1,250
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
4
A: 4 / B: 0
Series A
Microsoft Corp
MSFT
Market cap 2.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Applovin Corporation Class A Common Stock
APP
Market cap 139.2B · 898 employees
Stock · 1,250 raw → 1,250 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
6
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
1.7031
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-448.9996
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
MSFT
Microsoft Corp
Highest
+0.938
Cadence Design Systems
CDNS · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.867
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
BMY · 1,254 data points
APP
Applovin Corporation Class A Common Stock
Highest
+0.934
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM · 1,250 data points
Lowest
+0.426
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,250 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-app-daily-20260408-lj2j2b