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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs Applied Materials Inc

MSFT vs AMAT

+0.698

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

AMAT logo

Applied Materials Inc

AMAT

Applied Materials is the largest semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment manufacturer in the world. It has a broad portfolio spanning nearly every corner of the WFE ecosystem. Applied Materials holds leading market share in deposition, which entails the layering of new materials on semiconductor wafers. It is more exposed to general-purpose logic chips made at integrated device manufacturers and foundries. It counts the largest chipmakers in the world as customers, including TSMC, Intel, and Samsung.

Market cap 279.8B · 36,500 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnologyTechnology

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: MSFTGray: AMAT36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MSFT leads AMAT by 6 days

MSFT tends to move before AMAT.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.712 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.309

14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.524

9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.872

12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

48.7%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

68.6%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.668, 0.725]

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.367100150200250300350375.6Microsoft CorpApplied Materials IncData pointsFit (r = 0.698)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

AMAT logo

Applied Materials Inc

AMAT

Market cap 279.8B · 36,500 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

24

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.4747

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-6.8169

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-amat-daily-20260408-l7951s