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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs American Electric Power Company, Inc.

MSFT vs AEP

+0.471

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

AEP logo

American Electric Power Company, Inc.

AEP

American Electric Power is one of the largest regulated utilities in the United States, providing electricity generation, transmission, and distribution to more than 5 million customers in 11 states. About 39% of AEP's capacity is coal, with the remainder from a mix of natural gas (28%), renewable energy and hydro (23%), nuclear (7%), and demand response (3%). Vertically integrated utilities, transmission and distribution, and generation and marketing support earnings.

Market cap 71.9B · 17,581 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: MSFTGray: AEP36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MSFT leads AEP by 6 days

MSFT tends to move before AEP.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.494 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.056

13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.129

9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.770

13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

22.2%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

53.1%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.427, 0.513]

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.370.88090100110120130137.5Microsoft CorpAmerican Electric Power Company, Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.471)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

AEP logo

American Electric Power Company, Inc.

AEP

Market cap 71.9B · 17,581 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

20

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0711

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

69.5860

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-aep-daily-20260408-s9f8lm