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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs Adobe Inc.

MSFT vs ADBE

-0.076

Weak inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

ADBE logo

Adobe Inc.

ADBE

Adobe provides content creation, document management, and digital marketing and advertising software and services to creative professionals and marketers for creating, managing, delivering, measuring, optimizing, and engaging with compelling content multiple operating systems, devices, and media. The company operates with three segments: digital media content creation, digital experience for marketing solutions, and publishing for legacy products (less than 5% of revenue).

Market cap 98.8B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnologyTechnology

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: MSFTGray: ADBE36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MSFT leads ADBE by 6 days

MSFT tends to move before ADBE.

Best correlation after shifting: -0.099 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.120

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.785

10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.571

14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

0.6%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

74.2%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.01

95% CI: [-0.131, -0.021]

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.3207300400500600692Microsoft CorpAdobe Inc.Data pointsFit (r = -0.076)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

ADBE logo

Adobe Inc.

ADBE

Market cap 98.8B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

31

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.0966

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

489.6094

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-adbe-daily-20260408-s5er6z