Correlation Analysis
Microsoft Corp vs Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock
MSFT vs ABNB
+0.102
Weak positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Microsoft Corp
↗MSFT
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
Market cap 2.8T
Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock
↗ABNB
Airbnb is the world's largest online alternative accommodation travel agency; it also offers booking services for boutique hotels, experiences, and hotel-like services. Airbnb's platform offers over 9 million active accommodation listings. Listings from the company's 5 million-plus hosts are spread over almost every country in the world. In 2025, 42% of revenue was from North America, 39% from Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, 10% from Latin America, and 9% from Asia-Pacific. Transaction fees for online bookings account for all its revenue.
Market cap 76B · 8,200 employees
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Who Moves First
MSFT leads ABNB by 6 days
MSFT tends to move before ABNB.
Best correlation after shifting: +0.109 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.112
12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.111
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.646
14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
1.0%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
64.9%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.047, 0.157]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Microsoft Corp
MSFT
Market cap 2.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock
ABNB
Market cap 76B · 8,200 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0257
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
125.5036
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
MSFT
Microsoft Corp
Highest
+0.938
Cadence Design Systems
CDNS · 1,254 observations
Lowest
-0.867
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
BMY · 1,254 observations
ABNB
Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Highest
+0.122
NetFlix Inc
NFLX · 1,254 observations
Lowest
-0.459
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,254 observations
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