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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs Apple Inc.

MSFT vs AAPL

+0.855

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

AAPL logo

Apple Inc.

AAPL

Apple is among the largest companies in the world, with a broad portfolio of hardware and software products targeted at consumers and businesses. Apple's iPhone makes up a majority of the firm sales, and Apple's other products like Mac, iPad, and Watch are designed around the iPhone as the focal point of an expansive software ecosystem. Apple has progressively worked to add new applications, like streaming video, subscription bundles, and augmented reality. The firm designs its own software and semiconductors while working with subcontractors like Foxconn and TSMC to build its products and chips. Slightly less than half of Apple's sales come directly through its flagship stores, with a majority of sales coming indirectly through partnerships and distribution.

Market cap 3.8T

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnologyTechnology

Who Moves First

MSFT leads AAPL by 6 days

MSFT tends to move before AAPL.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.868 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.024

17 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.271

11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.512

7 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

73.2%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

71.0%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.840, 0.870]

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: MSFTGray: AAPL36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.3112.3120140160180200220240260280285.6Microsoft CorpApple Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.855)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

AAPL logo

Apple Inc.

AAPL

Market cap 3.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

14

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.4143

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

39.9777

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-aapl-daily-20260408-flr8jd