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Correlation Analysis

MSCI, Inc. vs Exxon Mobil Corporation

MSCI vs XOM

-0.024

Near-zero inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

MSCI logo

MSCI, Inc.

MSCI

MSCI has described its mission as enabling investors to build better portfolios for a better world. MSCI's largest and most profitable segment is its index segment, where it provides benchmarking to asset managers and asset owners. MSCI boasts over $18 trillion in benchmarked assets, including over $2.3 trillion in ETF assets linked to MSCI indexes. The MSCI analytics segment provides portfolio management and risk management analytics software to asset managers and asset owners. In its sustainability and climate segment, MSCI provides ESG data to the investment industry. In private assets, MSCI provides real restate reporting, market data, benchmarking, and analytics to investors and real estate managers.

Market cap 40B · 6,268 employees

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: MSCIGray: XOM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

XOM leads MSCI by 6 days

XOM tends to move before MSCI.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.044 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.177

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.635

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.690

18 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

0.1%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

54.1%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

n.s.

95% CI: [-0.079, 0.032]

Scatter

XY Regression

414.8450500550600650675.145.26080100120140160172.7MSCI, Inc.Exxon Mobil CorporationData pointsFit (r = -0.024)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSCI logo

MSCI, Inc.

MSCI

Market cap 40B · 6,268 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

54

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.0093

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

106.4169

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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