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Correlation Analysis

MPLX LP vs Exxon Mobil Corporation

MPLX vs XOM

+0.742

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MPLX logo

MPLX LP

MPLX

MPLX is a partnership that owns pipelines and gathering and processing assets with extensive holdings in the Appalachian and Permian regions. The asset base is made up of crude oil and refined products assets dropped down from Marathon Petroleum, its sponsor, and natural gas and natural gas liquids gathering and processing assets that were purchased or built.

Market cap 56.5B · 5,762 employees

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: MPLXGray: XOM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

MPLX and XOM tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.742 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.057

16 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.264

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.762

11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

55.1%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

66.0%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.717, 0.766]

Scatter

XY Regression

23.732530354045505557.5745.26080100120140160172.7MPLX LPExxon Mobil CorporationData pointsFit (r = 0.742)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MPLX logo

MPLX LP

MPLX

Market cap 56.5B · 5,762 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

41

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

1.8407

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

28.9695

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-mplx-vs-stock-xom-daily