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Correlation Analysis

Markel Group Inc. vs Walmart Inc. Common Stock

MKL vs WMT

+0.952

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MKL logo

Markel Group Inc.

MKL

Markel's primary business is property and casualty insurance. The company focuses primarily on specialty lines, ranging from areas such as executive liability to commercial equine insurance. The acquisition of Alterra in 2013 added substantial reinsurance operations, which now account for a little over 10% of premiums. The company uses capital generated by its insurance operations to buy noninsurance operations in diverse areas, such as bakery equipment manufacturing and residential homebuilding.

Market cap 23.9B · 22,900 employees

WMT logo

Walmart Inc. Common Stock

WMT

Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $680 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2025 sales), Walmart International (18%), and Sam's Club (14%). Within the US, nearly 60% of its $465 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.

Market cap 1T

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockConsumer

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: MKLGray: WMT36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

MKL and WMT tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.952 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.710

19 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.858

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.539

9 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

90.6%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

59.4%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.946, 0.957]

Scatter

XY Regression

1,0961,2001,4001,6001,8002,0002,2002,24634.7406080100120140141Markel Group Inc.Walmart Inc. Common StockData pointsFit (r = 0.952)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MKL logo

Markel Group Inc.

MKL

Market cap 23.9B · 22,900 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

WMT logo

Walmart Inc. Common Stock

WMT

Market cap 1T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

21

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0825

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-58.5301

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-mkl-vs-stock-wmt-daily