Correlation Analysis
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock vs Progressive Corporation
META vs PGR
+0.932
Very strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
↗META
Meta is the largest social media company in the world, boasting close to 4 billion monthly active users worldwide. The firm's "Family of Apps," its core business, consists of Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, and WhatsApp. End users can leverage these applications for a variety of different purposes, from keeping in touch with friends to following celebrities and running digital businesses for free. Meta packages customer data, gleaned from its application ecosystem and sells ads to digital advertisers. While the firm has been investing heavily in its Reality Labs business, it remains a very small part of Meta's overall sales.
Market cap 1.4T
Progressive Corporation
↗PGR
Progressive underwrites private and commercial auto insurance and specialty lines; it has almost 27 million personal auto policies in force and is one of the largest auto insurers in the United States. Progressive markets its policies through independent insurance agencies in the US and Canada and directly via the internet and telephone. Its premiums are split between the agent and the direct channel. The company also offers commercial auto policies and entered homeowners insurance through an acquisition in 2015.
Market cap 114.9B · 70,000 employees
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Who Moves First
PGR leads META by 6 days
PGR tends to move before META.
Best correlation after shifting: +0.934 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.318
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.692
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.729
16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
86.8%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
51.8%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,107
Deep shared window — 1,107 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.924, 0.939]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,107 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,107
1,254
Normalized
1,107
1,254
Prepared
1,107
1,254
Aligned
1,107
1,107
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
147
A: 0 / B: 147
Series A
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
META
Market cap 1.4T
Stock · 1,107 raw → 1,107 prepared
Series B
Progressive Corporation
PGR
Market cap 114.9B · 70,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.2321
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
90.2682
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
META
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Highest
+0.979
PCEC96
PCEC96 · 52 observations
Lowest
-0.939
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
UPS · 1,107 observations
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-meta-vs-stock-pgr-daily-20260408-a15irl